Evaluating the Accuracy of Emergency Department Triage Nurses in Predicting Patient Admissions: retrospective, large-sample evidence from a community ED
Accepted for Publication at Western Journal of Emergency Medicine, 2025
- Study evaluating how accurately ED triage nurses can predict patient hospital admissions, using data from 134,891 visits over five years.
- Found 85.8% overall accuracy, with nurses better at identifying patients who don’t need admission (93.7% specificity) than identifying those who do (36.6% sensitivity).
- Results suggest nurse predictions could help expedite certain hospital admission decisions and improve ED patient flow, despite not being reliable enough for complete automation.